Why the past-value calculation is 'factual' and the future-value calculation isn't
Historical CPI data is a recorded measurement, so converting a past amount to today's value is arithmetic on known numbers. Projecting forward requires picking an inflation rate that hasn't happened yet, so any future-value result is only as good as that underlying assumption β worth remembering before treating a future projection with the same confidence as a historical conversion.
Why small rate differences matter enormously over long periods
Because inflation compounds, the difference between assuming 2% and assuming 4% annual inflation over a 30-year projection is not double, it's dramatically more than double, due to compounding β which is exactly why long-range future-value estimates are best treated as a range across a few assumed rates, rather than a single confident number.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why do different calculators give different answers for the same past amount?
Differences usually come from which inflation index is used (a broad consumer price index versus a narrower one), which base year the index is anchored to, and how recently the index has been updated β small methodology differences compound into noticeably different results over long time spans.
Is there a rule of thumb for how much prices roughly double?
A commonly used shortcut is the 'Rule of 70': dividing 70 by the annual inflation rate estimates the number of years for prices to roughly double. At 3.5% average annual inflation, prices would roughly double every 20 years by this estimate.